Mideast
Policy Alert |
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Thursday, September 13, 2012 -
Volume 3, Number 7 © Copyright 2012, The Ultrapolis
Project. All Rights Reserved.
President
Obama Will Take Police Action Libyan U.S. Consulate Attack, Egyptian U.S. Embassy Melee, Israeli Public
Rift, to Provoke Response The
murderous attacks on the U.S. consulate in Benghazi, Libya, that left four
American public servants dead, including the American ambassador to Libya, J.
Christopher Stevens, preceded by the previous day’s unusual
Israeli public protest of U.S. foreign policy regarding Iran, and followed by
the violent mob demonstrations against the U.S. at the gates of the U.S.
embassy in Cairo, will provoke a military strike by the president. While
the president has been often criticized for being too publicly apologetic to
any person or country that is in any way identified with Islam, and has
warped official language on foreign policy to prohibit even using the term
“war on terror” or “Islamic terrorism” (but it’s OK to talk about a “war on
women”), he has a track record of not shying away from deadly strikes against
non-state violent actors, not tolerating well personal embarrassments, and of
taking seriously any threats of terrorist attacks on Americans (U.S. Attorney
General Eric Holder’s lunacy notwithstanding). His record of maintaining or reinstating
Bush era security policies, increased illegal alien deportations, keeping open
Guantanamo Bay, and shooting any known pirates and terrorists on sight (not
least Osama Bin Laden) belies his other record of a self-effacing foreign
policy. We
expect that President Obama, regardless of whatever far left inclinations he
may harbor as described by the movie “2016: Obama’s
America,” is very clear on the danger these recent
developments pose to his re-election, and his ambitions for America’s
future. The president and his Foreign
Service may yet continue to dangerously misapply soft diplomatic language,
but he will not allow Arab (or even American) misunderstanding of his words
to tie his hands in anyway. Forecast Confidence level: High. Comments may be directed to contactproject@ultrapolisproject.com, or if you receive the newsletter email, also via a
reply to the email address from which you receive it. |
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Main Index of the Ultrapolis World Forecast & Review © Copyright 2012,
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