About UWFR

Getting It Right Since 2010

But Not for the Faint of Mind

ANYONE can have an opinion and everyone has one. But few hold themselves to account for predictions as we do. Don't you hate that friend that swears they 'knew it all along" when you know they said something different before? Still, do you remember what your favorite pundits predicted after more than a few days? Do you notice when they flip flop after their forecasts go wrong? We at UWFR, separately from our Archive Index, maintain a listing of the most important forecasts so you can check back anytime on our past forecasts, whether fullfilled or not. Our record is not perfect, but it is strong. That is because we do not publish just to publish. We publish when we have something to say. And though UWFR has an ideological leaning, its forecasts aim for objective accuracy, without regard to which political view or party the forecast seems to help or hurt. You see, we are not looking for readers who just want to read whatever reinforces their views. We are looking for readers who want to examine with us what is most likely true about our world. With an objectively reliable forecast record, we hope to earn the trust of those readers.

MOST online publishing today is focused on bait clicks and immediacy which by necessity allows no time for thorough research or considered writing. It is designed to promote comments through outrage, crudeness, sensationalism, and hyperbole - and NOT to promote CLARITY. BUT, UWFR articles are well researched and carefully prepared to stand the test of time instead of the test of notoriety. They are written to be relevant for years, so that the time you spend reading does not become a moot investment within a day or a week. UWFR's excellent forecast track record backs up the soundness and long-term relevance of our columns. And we at UWFR show respect for our readers by expecting them to be intelligent and civilized as we reward them with thought-provoking essays and glimpses to the future.

You can spend countless hours following the herd on what's 'trending' for the next few moments, or you can invest minutes of your precious time with UWFR to be ahead of the herd on what will be important for years to come.

VISIT our Archive Index for past issues, or see our Forecast Chart for a summarized view of past and current major forecasts and their status. To receive emailed notices of new issues, sign up via our Comments page.

Highlights of some our past forecasts:

In November of 2010, in the wake of the GOP electoral sweep, while all other media pundits talked about a national re-alignment, UWFR forecast the re-election of Barack Obama two full years in advance.

In February of 2011, before the Texas Governor even entered the race, UWFR predicted Rick Perry's campaign collapse, which occurred almost a year later in January 2012.

In January 2013, when all media pundits from the left and right were unanimous on the excellent 2016 presidential prospects for New Jersey Governor Chris Christie, only UWFR foresaw his stumble, which occurred a full year later, and from which he has yet to recover.

UWFR forecast in October of 2013 that the Ted Cruz-led government shutdown would not hurt the Republicans in November 2014, and that the elections would favor them, even as all other major media pundits, including those at Fox News, fretted that the shutdown would damage GOP prospects.

In March and May of 2013, even as all sides were to depict Hillary Clinton as invincible for the next two years, UWFR forecast an intra-Democratic attempt to stop her and search for an alternative. UWFR followed up with a forecast in February of 2014 that the alternative sought would be Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren. As of October 2014, the first public articles appeared noting Elizabeth Warren as an alternative to Clinton (other than ours), and in March a Democratic operative was been implicated in exposing Mrs. Clinton's latest scandals while national pundits now question how inevitable Mrs. Clinton really is.